{"id":2342,"date":"2026-06-23T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/forecastingresearch.org\/?page_id=2342"},"modified":"2026-06-24T00:24:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-24T00:24:31","slug":"transparency","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/forecastingresearch.org\/transparency","title":{"rendered":"Transparency"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Organization<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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See our Board of Directors \n \n<\/svg>\n\n \n<\/svg><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

We are a 501(c)(3) nonprofit. You can use this search tool<\/a> to view our determination and annual returns. Email info@forecastingresearch.org<\/a> to request any additional relevant public access files electronically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Funders<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Our research is primarily funded by donations. Every contribution supports our work running large-scale forecasting studies to inform decision-making on high-stakes issues. To discuss ideas for forecasting projects or learn more about our specific funding needs, please contact us at info@forecastingresearch.org<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Explore our research \n \n<\/svg>\n\n \n<\/svg><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Below is a list of grantmaking organizations and individuals who have contributed $10,000 USD or more to FRI since its founding in October 2022. In addition to the grants below, our first project, the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament<\/a> (XPT), was made possible by a grant from the Musk Foundation before the Forecasting Research Institute was established.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy)<\/strong><\/summary>\n
Date<\/strong><\/td>Amount<\/strong><\/td>Purpose<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
March 2025<\/td>$10,080,000 USD<\/td>General support<\/td><\/tr>
October 2024<\/td>$1,071,000 USD<\/td>Support the Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP)<\/a>.<\/td><\/tr>
April 2024<\/td>$483,850 USD<\/td>Forecasting red-line evaluations of advanced AI systems.<\/td><\/tr>
April 2024<\/td>$100,000 USD<\/td>Support the construction of ForecastBench<\/a>.<\/td><\/tr>
January 2024<\/td>$60,000 USD<\/td>Analysis of forecasting accuracy using data from large forecasting competitions.<\/td><\/tr>
March 2023<\/td>$75,000 USD (prize)<\/td>Prize from the Open Philanthropy AI Worldviews Contest<\/a> for our Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament<\/a> (XPT) report.<\/td><\/tr>
March 2023<\/td>$150,000 USD<\/td>Support the AI adversarial collaboration<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
December 2022<\/td>$5,352,800 USD<\/td>General support<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n
GiveWell<\/strong><\/summary>\n
Date<\/strong><\/td>Amount<\/strong><\/td>Purpose<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
May 2025<\/td>$200,808 USD<\/td>Elicit forecasts about the under-5 all-cause mortality treatment effect of water chlorination programs.
See GiveWell\u2019s rationale here<\/a>.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n
Ought<\/strong><\/summary>\n
Date<\/strong><\/td>Amount<\/strong><\/td>Purpose<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
April 2026<\/td>$100,000 USD<\/td>General support<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n
Survival & Flourishing Fund<\/strong><\/summary>\n
Date<\/strong><\/td>Amount<\/strong><\/td>Purpose<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
June 2025<\/td>$10,000 USD<\/td>General support<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n
Vanguard Charitable, on behalf of Craig Falls<\/strong><\/summary>\n
Date<\/strong><\/td>Amount<\/strong><\/td>Purpose<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
September 2024<\/td>$1,300,000 USD<\/td>Support the development and maintenance of the Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP)<\/a>.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/figure>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n

We also receive some funding not listed above via research collaborations. We are often restricted from sharing details of collaborations until the research is public, but plan to share more information on this page soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Organization We are a 501(c)(3) nonprofit. You can use this search tool to view our determination and annual returns. Email info@forecastingresearch.org to request any additional relevant public access files electronically. Funders Our research is primarily funded by donations. Every contribution supports our work running large-scale forecasting studies to inform decision-making on high-stakes issues. 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