Project

The Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP)

The Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP)

LEAP is a three-year project tracking the views of leading computer scientists, AI industry professionals, policy researchers, and economists on the trajectory of artificial intelligence. Every month, LEAP participants provide thousands of forecasts on key AI progress indicators including benchmarks, labor market impacts, and scientific discovery.

For more about LEAP, and to view reports from each month of surveys and analysis of every question:

Related research
Working paper
The Longitudinal Expert AI Panel: Understanding Expert Views on AI Capabilities, Adoption, and Impact
Nov 10, 2025
Working paper
Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI
Mar 31, 2026
Working paper
Forecasting Existential Risks: Evidence from a Long-Run Forecasting Tournament
Jul 10, 2023
Academic article
Subjective-probability forecasts of existential risk: Initial results from a hybrid persuasion-forecasting tournament
Jan 17, 2025