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The FRI team

Josh Rosenberg

CEO

Josh oversees a variety of research, strategy, fundraising, and operations work at FRI, and he is particularly focused on making forecasting more useful to decision-makers. Previously, he was a Senior Advisor and Senior Research Manager at GiveWell, where he spent several years working in management, research, grantmaking, and hiring.

Research authored
Working paper
Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI
Mar 31, 2026
Project
The Longitudinal Expert AI Panel (LEAP)
Ongoing
Working paper
Assessing Near-Term Accuracy in the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament
Sep 2, 2025
Academic article
Belief updating in AI-risk debates: Exploring the limits of adversarial collaboration
Apr 3, 2025